Strategic Trends 2020

Key Developments in Global Affairs

Author(s): Michael Haas, Henrik Larsen, Linda Maduz, Niklas Masuhr, Jack Thompson, Benno Zogg
Editor(s): Michael Haas, Oliver Thränert
Series Editor(s): Andreas Wenger
Series: Strategic Trends
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich
Publication Year: 2020
Publication Place: Zurich

Strategic Trends 2020 offers a concise analysis of major developments in world affairs, with a primary focus on international security. In the first chapter, Jack Thompson explores the main domestic determinants of the US-China rivalry and their implications at the international level. In the second chapter, Michael Haas and Niklas Masuhr show that a military conflict between the US and China is no longer as remote as it once seemed and that both sides are now very actively planning for the eventuality of a major war in the next decade or two. In Chapter 3, Henrik Larsen and Linda Maduz address the implications of China’s targeted influence attempts and of its Belt and Road initiative (BRI) for Europe. In the final chapter, Benno Zogg explores the BRI and its potential effectiveness from a regional perspective, focusing on China’s potential Eurasian zone of influence.

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