Terrorism as a Manageable Risk – Think Again

21 Sep 2012

Not only has Al Qaeda's core remained far more resilient than expected in Pakistan, affiliated organizations are expanding in the Middle East and Northern Africa. As a result, terror-wielding "sub-contractors" now pose a "homegrown" threat to international security.

The killing of Osama bin Laden marked a turning point in our most recent "Age of Terror", at least symbolically. A symbolic turn, however, is not tantamount to victory. While Western publics have grown increasingly tired of high-profile military and counterterrorism operations overseas, especially in the face of genuine economic distress at home, some experts believe that Al Qaeda-affiliated and inspired organizations still pose a significant threat. Indeed, Thomas Joscelyn (see his influential external pageLong War Journal) argues that they continue to make genuine progress across the Middle East and North Africa, most notably in Mali, Somalia, Syria and Yemen. And despite the United States’ ongoing campaign of targeted attacks against its senior leaders, Al Qaeda remains influential within the Afghan and Pakistani heartlands. In the following video, Joscelyn affirms that Al Qaeda did not suffer a mortal blow with the death of Osama bin Laden and traces the organization's current dynamics.

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Enlarged view: Still from TV show
Thomas Joscelyn on al-Qaida (click on image to see video)

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