Publications

Does the scale of China´s presence, interests and activities in Antarctica mean Australia should rethink its approach to the continent? Anne-Marie Brady thinks so. Indeed, she contends there a several reasons why, including that China 1) is rapidly expanding its presence...chevron_right

This publication outlines how East Asia is particularly vulnerable to economic shocks, and how the slowing global economy risks fragmenting both social consensus within the region’s nations and cooperation between them. To respond to such risks, the author...chevron_right

This paper looks at how developments in ‘big data’ technology could provide Australia’s national security community with new tools to collect, collate and analyze information. The text’s author also 1) looks at how the use of big data by national security...chevron_right

This publication argues that President Trump´s administration is laying the groundwork for the US to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal. However, the text's authors suggest that if the US were to end its participation in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear program...chevron_right

In this text, Jakub Groszkowski, Tadeusz Iwański and Andrzej Sadecki review the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary’s policies towards Ukraine. One key insight they highlight is that while the three states still prioritize relations with Russia over those with Ukraine...chevron_right

This article looks at how to improve EU counterterrorism policy following the August 2017 terror attack in Barcelona, Spain. More specifically, the authors outline 1) that the EU should create a ‘principled and trust-based’ approach to enhance...chevron_right

Will the US´ August 2017 ´Countering America´s Adversaries through Sanctions Act´ - which imposes sanctions on Iran, North Korea and Russia - unduly interfere with EU energy security? The author of this text doesn’t thinks so. Indeed, he contends that the law...chevron_right

Just who are Boko Haram´s suicide bombers? Where are they deployed? What do they target? And what does Boko Haram´s strategic and operational use of these bombers reveal about the past, present, and future of the terrorist group? Through an analysis of a dataset...chevron_right

This edition of the CTC Sentinel focuses on 1) the threat environment in the UK following the terrorist attacks in London and Manchester; 2) an analytical framework on how to predict the shape and intensity of Iraq’s next Sunni insurgencies; 3) the so-called Islamic State...chevron_right

This publication argues that modern information technology now serves as a force multiplier on a scale never seen before. So, what should Western nations think of this text´s account of 1) Russia´s strategic use of disinformation 2) the Russian state´s close relationship...chevron_right

This publication traces how agricultural advances have created a shift from subsistence to entrepreneurial farming in northeastern Thailand over the past 30 years. The author also highlights that 1) that this transition has been accompanied by...chevron_right

This paper highlights four frequently repeated misconceptions it argues are connected to the crisis created by North Korea’s progressing nuclear program. More specifically, the author asserts that 1) characterizations of North Korea’s regime as irrational are wrong...chevron_right

This paper examines how the EU could build a new agenda for itself to create a European project that can enjoy the support of its citizens. To do so, the author contends that the EU will need to 1) accept the return of a weaker liberal global order while maintaining...chevron_right

What can the EU do to build resilience and address drivers of fragility in the Western Balkans? To answer this question, this report looks at 1) the impact of external actors on the region, including the EU, NATO, the US, Russia, Turkey, the Gulf States and China; and 2) key internal drivers influencing the region’s resilience, including those that relate to growing authoritarianism, relations between the state and civil society, violent extremism and more.chevron_right

This paper highlights how statements and actions by the Trump administration suggest that it does not place a high priority on projecting American soft power in its conduct of foreign policy. While the text’s author also contends that proclamations regarding...chevron_right