Publications

This analysis explores the factors that led to the outbreak of civil war in Yemen in 2015. The text's author particularly highlights 1) the failure of the 2011 transition agreement to end the influenc...chevron_right

This report insists that the international community needs better tools to assess the condition of fragile states. Indeed, what it needs is a new Country Fragility Assessment Framework which systemati...chevron_right

This brief explores Russia's military intentions in Syria. It argues that 1) its putative aim to combat ISIS is a false one, and 2) after an impressive start, Moscow's disregard for civilian casualtie...chevron_right

This report provides an updated analysis on the war in Syria and how it has evolved since mid-October 2015. The text's author particularly focuses on 1) the criticism of UK policy towards Syria by the...chevron_right

This brief examines how the Sunni resistance to the 2003-2011 occupation of Iraq eclipsed the prominence of al-Qaida in the Middle East and changed the nature and strategies of radical Islamists. It a...chevron_right

This brief, which was published prior to the release of the UK government’s 2015 Strategic Defense and Security Review (SDSR), highlights the key strategic questions that the SDSR needed to address. T...chevron_right

This report summarizes the key findings of a September 2015 workshop on strategic trade controls (STC) in continental Southeast Asia. The primary focus of the event was on 1) international trade and s...chevron_right

This report summarizes the key findings and recommendations of a conference recently held on the trilateral dialogue between the US, South Korea and Japan on the concept and implementation of extended...chevron_right

This paper argues that there has been a "nearly proper" ceasefire in the Donbass region of Ukraine since September 2015. The reasons for it include the political-military balance on the ground, the cu...chevron_right

This issue of the CTTA focuses on four prominent and violent political personalities. The individuals include 1) Omar al Shishani, a Chechen who is currently an ISIS commander in Syria; 2) Mullah Akht...chevron_right

This report highlights the various investments Kenya’s National Police Reserve (NPR) needs in order to provide effective community-level security in Kenya’s arid and semi-arid lands (ASAL). The report...chevron_right

This brief illustrates how many of the commitments made in the last Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) overlap with the peace-related targets in the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). T...chevron_right

In today’s publication, Laura James 1) reviews the historical links between oil and security in Sudan and South Sudan; 2) identifies the key actors in the countries' oil sectors; and 3) assesses the current economic, political and security situations within and between the two oil producing states.chevron_right

This paper tries to explain South Africa’s economic underperformance since 1994. One major reason for the poor results is that the country has not converted its mineral wealth into inclusive developme...chevron_right

This commentary assesses Russia's political intentions in Syria in an indirect way – i.e., it analyzes the military forces/capabilities Moscow has deployed to the country and the nature of the air str...chevron_right