Publications

Since the US announced its pivot to the Asia-Pacific region in 2011/2012, the country’s European Command (EUCOM) has steadily lost resources and forces. However, as this text's author sees it, five recent geostrategic developments are causing Washington to now backpedal, as illustrated by the European Reassurance Initiative.chevron_right

This report analyzes Russia’s propaganda and disinformation campaigns designed for the conflict in Ukraine. The text specifically examines 1) the conceptual and historical roots of deception practices; 2) the metanarratives being generated by Russia; and 3) the policy objectives behind Moscow’s strategic deception efforts, both domestically and in selected countries of the European Union.chevron_right

This publication examines the ways in which authoritarian regimes learn from each other and collaborate to develop repressive practices. The authors in particular 1) look at the role of regional structures in the development of repressive rules and norms of behavior...chevron_right

This briefing describes the deteriorating relationship between Saudi Arabia and the US in the wake of the nuclear deal between the P5+1 nations and Iran in late 2015. The current difficulties turn on 1) competing attitudes towards regional security within the Persian Gulf, and 2) Saudi Arabia’s efforts to ‘securitize’ the US public’s vision of Iran, which has failed thus far.chevron_right

This paper looks back at the Battle of Jutland in order to see if it holds any enduring lessons for us today. One conclusion the text’s author draws is...chevron_right

This paper reviews the evolution of Boko Haram from its inception up to the present. In particular, the text’s author discusses...chevron_right

This issue of the JTR focuses on 1) the relationship between social media, online radicalization and the practice of political jamming; 2) how the Obama administration missed the opportunities presented by...chevron_right

This analysis explores Germany’s aspiration to focus its 2016 OSCE chairmanship on politically reaching out to China, and thereby deemphasize the chair’s normal focus on economic issues. Basically, Berlin sees the OSCE as another vehicle to engage Beijing on next-step foreign policy options in the Middle East and elsewhere.chevron_right

This analysis contends that the terror attacks occurring throughout Europe are part of an escalating internal offensive against the continent. Indeed, the media arm of the so-called Islamic State may claim responsibility for most if not all of the attacks, but the reality is that they originate with, and are waged by, European Jihadists in the newly defined Dar ul-Kuffar…chevron_right

This publication ponders whether China might support an independent Kurdistan. It specifically considers 1) the Kurds’ ongoing desire for statehood and how different nations have responded to it; 2) why the West’s backing of jihadist groups in Syria has led to increased support for the Kurds by China and other non-western powers; and 3) why Asian states need the Kurds in their counterterrorism coalition.chevron_right

This paper argues that Russia and the so-called Islamic State have incorporated migration flows into their hybrid warfare strategies. The text’s author also explores...chevron_right

As Manfred Kern sees it, infectious diseases or plagues – including those based on bacteria, viruses, fungi, parasites, prions, synthetic biology structures, nano-viruses, new/unknown organisms, bioweapons and terrorists – represent a growing epidemic and pandemic risk to the world at large. Here’s his assessment of the threats.chevron_right

This paper begins by comparing a statement issued by the G7 last year on the tensions in the China Seas with a more pugnacious one made by the group in 2016. The text’s author then...chevron_right

Diese Publikation analysiert aktuelle sicherheits- und wirtschaftspolitische Entwicklungen in Russland. Der Autor diskutiert im Speziellen 1) die Bildung von Putin’s neuer Nationalgarde; und 2) die pol...chevron_right

This paper highlights ISS’ interactive public and election violence-monitoring project, which is designed to provide a more comprehensive analysis of violent behavior in South Africa. In addition to presenting the project’s preliminary findings, the paper identifies different ways that the country can ameliorate the triggers and root causes of violence.chevron_right