Publications

This report assesses China’s interests and influence in bringing about a durable settlement of the North Korean nuclear crisis. It also provides recommendations for the US to assume a more effective r...chevron_right

Madkhali-Salafis, or Madkhalis for short, are followers of an ultra-conservative Sunni Muslim doctrine who have gained significant influence across Libya, including in key armed groups and religious i...chevron_right

This publication reflects on the 2019 Easter attacks in Sri Lanka and its implications for peace and security in the country. It concludes that the stakes to establish responsibility for the assault a...chevron_right

This publication discusses the political turmoil in Venezuela, including the increasing repression of the population, the emergence of parallel legislative and judicial institutions, Juan Guaidó’s sel...chevron_right

This edition considers the geopolitical context of the Caspian Sea, following the signing of the 2018 Convention on its legal status. Firstly, Stanislav Pritchin provides an historical overview of the process that led to the Convention, noting that its signing represents a great success for Russian diplomacy, because it consolidates key norms and positions that are largely in Moscow’s long-term interests. Secondly, Luca Anceschi assesses the likely impact of the 2018 Convention on connectivity prospects and energy cooperation across the Caspian Sea, arguing that few significant obstacles now stand in the way of sustainable cooperation among the five riverine states.chevron_right

This publication argues that by lending limited support to the Saudi-led military campaign in Yemen, the US became complicit in a man-made humanitarian disaster. In response, the text looks at where t...chevron_right

As with previous editions, Strategic Trends 2019 offers a concise analysis of major developments in world affairs, with a primary focus on international security. Jack Thompson first considers the con...chevron_right

In this Strategic Trends chapter, Jack Thompson considers the consequences of the Trump administration’s new approach to trade policy. He notes that the current system is, in some respects, unfair to ...chevron_right

In this Strategic Trends chapter, Jeronim Perović considers the emergence of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), a surprisingly robust multilateral organization of post-Soviet states, which is not a R...chevron_right

In this Strategic Trends chapter, Lisa Watanabe looks as Russia’s re-emergence as a power broker in the Middle East and North Africa, with a focus on countries of particular interest to Europe when it...chevron_right

In this Strategic Trends chapter, Michael Haas examines the advantage Western nations have enjoyed in military technology since the 1970s. He argues that this state of affairs is rapidly changing, as ...chevron_right

What if NATO offered Brazil membership in order to stop Russian and Chinese strategic gamesmanship in Latin America? This publication unpacks this ‘theater of the mind’ exercise, concluding that there...chevron_right

The conflict in and around Ukraine seems to be immune to political settlement. The lack of political will of the parties and technical challenges have led to a stalemate in the implementation of the M...chevron_right

NATO is prioritizing conventional military capabilities to deter Russian encroachment on the alliance. Western planners and strategists view the war in Ukraine as a key benchmark that defines future c...chevron_right

At Jerusalem’s Holy Esplanade (Haram al-Sharif/Temple Mount), Israeli police and Palestinian worshippers are struggling over control of a building next to the Gate of Mercy. This publication explores ...chevron_right