Publications

This commentary contends that the expected economic policies of the incoming Trump administration may actually benefit the economies of eurozone countries. Trump's plan to implement sweeping tax cuts, subsidize infrastructure investment and...chevron_right

The title says it all – i.e., the failed December 2016 constitutional referendum in Italy wasn’t an anti-establishment vote per se. After all, 1) its chief proponent – Prime Minister Renzi – first emerged as an anti-establishment leader, and 2) the proposed reform was...chevron_right

Why have Japan’s government and businesses been so critical of the UK’s decision to leave the EU? This text argues that it’s because Brexit will change the ‘operating landscape’ for Japan and create huge uncertainty for the country. Given these truths, the UK government...chevron_right

Contrary to the popular argument in Italy that the country's economic woes are attributable to the Euro and its ‘Teutonic’ rules, the author of this short paper contends that the financial fate of the country has always been in its own hands.chevron_right

In late 2016 Italian banks find themselves burdened by non-performing loans (NPLs) that are almost as large as their capital reserves and provisions. This is an undeniable crisis, argues the brief’s author, but it also provides the opportunity for Italian authorities to...chevron_right

This paper discusses the diplomatic roles which the EU could play in helping to mitigate or resolve conflicts in the Middle East. The text begins by examining the EU's general approach to conflict and crisis management, then discusses why managing Turkey’s aspirations and...chevron_right

This paper examines how the UK’s exit from the EU will impact the relative voting power of the remaining members of the European Council. Interestingly enough, the pending departure will most likely lead to 1) the smaller but more numerous EU countries losing rather than gaining power, and 2) if Scotland joins the EU at a later point in time, it would only add to the larger states’ strength.chevron_right

This paper looks at the likelihood that the UK will retain access to the EU single market, which would constitute a “soft Brexit,” when the UK leaves the EU. In particular, the text's author discusses 1) the relationship between...chevron_right

This paper examines the impact Brexit may have on the social security entitlements of British citizens who’ve worked or lived in another EU member state and non-British individuals who have worked or lived in the UK. The text’s author begins her analysis by reviewing...chevron_right

This commentary discusses the impact the Trump administration could have on trade and European security. The text’s authors contend that Trump's policies – if implemented – could lead to...chevron_right

This commentary grapples with the two questions which most affected the 2016 Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) negotiations between Canada and the EU: 1) how can national regulations on safety, health and the environment be made...chevron_right

This text looks at how the EU funds its external policies on migration, border control and asylum seeking. After describing the different funding instruments the EU has in place to deal with this three-part problem, with a particular emphasis on...chevron_right

This paper assesses the uncertainty that’s been generated by the Brexit vote in international and UK financial markets, particularly in the cases of 1) stock return levels; 2) sovereign credit default swaps; 3) 10-year interest rates in...chevron_right

This paper looks at the ongoing attempts by Armenia to regain and restore its relations with the EU ever since it joined the Eurasian Economic Union in 2015. The text’s author specifically discusses 1) what’s been driving recent...chevron_right

This paper maps out Italy’s interests in the forthcoming Brexit negotiations. The text’s authors explain that in recent years growing numbers of young people have left the country in search of better paid and more rewarding jobs elsewhere in the EU. For this reason, they believe that the Italian government...chevron_right