Publications

In this paper, John Bruton, the former Prime Minister of Ireland, speculates on the potential impact of Brexit on his country. He specifically analyzes 1) the UK’s expected positions in the upcoming negotiations and the likely responses from...chevron_right

In light of the shift from fossil fuels to green energy sources, this brief analyzes the various benefits and impacts of the so-called “Energiewende” (energy transformation). The author specifically examines the transformation’s potential impact on 1) the export and...chevron_right

This edition of ACLED’s monthly Conflict Trends report focuses on 1) the strategies, patterns and geography of al Shabaab’s violence in Kenya and Somalia; 2) an upswing in riot activity in Ghana by New Patriotic Party (NPP) supporters; 3) political party…chevron_right

This edition of the CTC Sentinel focuses on 1) the responses by law enforcement agencies to the San Bernardino (2015) and Orlando (2016) terrorist attacks in the United States; 2) the increasing reliance by the so-called Islamic State on significantly older operatives; 3) Italy’s...chevron_right

This report examines the global and local benefits of increased natural gas usage in the Asia-Pacific Region. More specifically, the text’s authors 1) assess the potential impact of demand increases in China and India on natural gas prices and gas suppliers; 2) argue that...chevron_right

Given that new digital technologies continue to alter the way we conduct elections, this brief examines how government officials and NGOs might 1) protect election systems from online threats; 2) deter cyber interference with such systems; and 3) reassure citizens that...chevron_right

This brief argues that quarrels over inadequate defense budgets are not the reason behind NATO’s current turmoil. The real problem is the growing divide over what ‘security’ means. With the Trump administration’s two-fisted preference for ‘hard’ over ‘soft’ power now...chevron_right

This brief probes the apparent revival of coalition building among EU member states and its implications for the future of regional integration. The purposes of this liaising include 1) adding yet another governance tool; 2) having a counterweight to state veto power; and...chevron_right

This brief explores the new dynamics of Germany’s relations with its European partners and the United States, particularly on three levels: 1) the domestic sphere, which highlights the public’s positive perception of EU membership and its benefits; 2) the European level, which...chevron_right

This report presents the results of a comprehensive ECFR survey which targeted EU policy makers and think tanks. More specifically, the report’s authors provide myriad visual representations of the views held by Europe’s professional political class and explore...chevron_right

Given its arms exports, technology transfers, and arms and dual-use export controls, Europe’s impact on Asian armament and security trends is larger than you might think. The problem, as this brief sees it, is that these activities are being guided by diverse...chevron_right

Amidst ongoing speculation about a possible ‘grand bargain’ between the West and Russia over Ukraine, this commentary argues that such a deal is not possible. While Europe may desire a more pragmatic modus vivendi with Moscow, thoroughly ‘freezing’ the conflict in...chevron_right

This paper sheds light on Russia’s information security doctrine; its aggressive, state-sanctioned pursuit of influence operations; and the cyber-security gaps it deliberately exploits. In response to these problems, Western governments should apply...chevron_right

This commentary looks at Finland’s recent adjustments to its national security planning strategy. Of particular importance is improving the country’s conflict response capabilities and military readiness. With added improvements, after all, Finland will be able to...chevron_right

This commentary analyzes the challenges facing French President Emmanuel Macron. While his recent election could breathe new life into the European integration dynamic, the latter possibility will depend on Macron’s ability to secure a domestic stronghold and...chevron_right