Publications

As the title suggests, this publication looks at the development of Ethiopian-Sudanese relations. Key findings include 1) that the Cold War both shaped and was itself shaped by the conflicts within an...chevron_right

In this publication, Timo Smit, Sacks Ferrari and Jaïr van der Lijn provide a snapshot of multilateral peace operations in 2019, with statistics on personnel, country contributions, and fatalities for operations conducted by the UN, regional organizations or alliances, and ad hoc coalitions of states. The authors note that the downward trends associated with multilateral peace operations continued in 2019, including in the number of personal, which decreased by 4.8 percent over the year.chevron_right

This report focuses on the risks that a lack of nuclear restraint pose for international security. This involves uncertainty regarding the first use of nuclear weapons, which has increased in recent y...chevron_right

This publication provides guidance on how to safeguard records and archives that could contribute to dealing with the past processes. That is, such processes which address the rights of victims and societies to truth justice, reparation and guarantees of non-recurrence in the aftermath of grave human rights violations, breaches of international humanitarian law and related serious forms of corruption that facilitate such crimes. These archives and records are often at risk of destruction for a number of reasons, from neglect to natural disasters, meaning they often require rapid responses to ensure protection.chevron_right

As with previous editions, Strategic Trends 2020 offers a concise analysis of major developments in world affairs, with a primary focus on international security. The chapters explore 1) the domestic determinants of the US-China rivalry and their international-level implications; 2) why a US-China war can no longer be treated as a remote and implausible prospect; 3) the implications for Europe of China’s targeted influence attempts and its Belt and Road initiative (BRI); and 4) the BRI and its potential effectiveness from a regional perspective, focusing on Eurasia.chevron_right

Nowhere is China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) more evident than in Eurasia, which spans from Central Asia to Eastern Europe. China is transforming this space with physical infrastructure, but also...chevron_right

US-​Chinese rivalry is becoming the prime mover of global affairs. Though the long-​term trajectory of this critical relationship is uncertain, several salient factors are already apparent: pernicious...chevron_right

As the strategic rivalry between the US and China intensifies, militarized crises are becoming more likely and a major military conflict is no longer as remote as it once seemed. The far-​reaching mod...chevron_right

China’s growing influence in Europe has the potential to create new geo-​economic divides. Its purchase of critical infrastructures and successful promotion of national high-​tech giants hold long-​te...chevron_right

This publication examines the political situation in Russia in light of the coronavirus pandemic. Key contentions include that 1) through constitutional changes, President Vladimir Putin has seemingly...chevron_right

Diese Publikation beschäftigt sich mit den vier Herausforderungen für den Staats- und Parteichef Xi Jinping im Frühjahr 2020. In China hat die Ausbreitung des Coronavirus die Kommunistische Partei (KP...chevron_right

Diese Publikation beschäftigt sich damit, wie die Führungsorganisation der Bundeswehr angepasst werden kann. Die Bundeswehr besinnt sich mit der Refokussierung auf Landes- und Bündnisvertei- digung se...chevron_right

This issue of the RAD focuses on Russia and the Covid-19 Pandemic. First, Judy Twigg analyzes the challenge the coronavirus pandemic poses to Russia. The author contends that Russia’s approach to containing the virus and the healthcare system’s condition raise serious questions about the efficacy of the much-vaunted “power vertical” in this instance. Second, Gunter Deuber looks at the two simultaneous economic crises facing Russia: an oil market shock and the impact of the coronavirus crisis.chevron_right

This Crisis Group report highlights that geography, economics and migration patterns dictate that Colombia and Venezuela, which severed diplomatic ties in 2019, will confront the coronavirus pandemic together. In response, the text’s authors contend that the two countries should temporarily mend their relations, and both sides in Venezuela’s ongoing political dispute should agree to pause their conflict, to allow for a coordinated humanitarian response.chevron_right

This publication outlines that in February 2020, protests in Kazakhstan drove a key project of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) out of the country. In response, the text’s author looks at 1) the...chevron_right