Publications

This publication analyzes the debate about the UN-backed International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG), which may be discontinued in 2019. The report also assesses the commission’s co...chevron_right

Mark Leonard et al contend that there is a strong rationale for close EU-UK cooperation on security and defense after Brexit. So how could the EU and the UK develop a new partnership that not only sustains, but also potentially enhances Europe' security and global power? To help provide an answer, our authors here discuss 1) the principles that could serve as a basis for future EU-UK security relations; 2) key security concerns and major obstacles to a future EU-UK partnership; 3) how to potentially structure the future security ties, and more.chevron_right

This publication examines the United States’ recent protectionist policies and their implications for the country. It contends that the Trump administration’s strategy is to maximize benefits for the ...chevron_right

This report by Daniel Kliman and Abigail Grace contextualizes China's “One Belt, One Road” in China’s grand strategy. The authors argue that the “Belt and Road” will cement China’s global power status and at the same time threaten the world economy and global democratization efforts. In response, they suggest that the US and its allies should adopt a coherent and common strategy that seeks to shape the “Belt and Road”, compete when necessary, and most critically, promote a positive economic vision.chevron_right

This edition of the RAD analyses the reaction to the pension reforms announced in Russia earlier this year. Firstly, Martin Brand examines how protests against the reforms forced the government to engage in a public debate on the issue. Secondly, Elena Maltseva outlines how the Russian pension system has been transformed since the 1990s, noting that while there have been distinct periods of reform since then, all have been primarily driven by neoliberal economic advisers to the Russian government. Thirdly, Irina Meyer assesses the role of trade unions in organizing and leading the protests against the proposed reforms, suggesting that such trade union-led protests have little capacity to affect social policy in Russia.chevron_right

This paper reflects on the future of the European Union and outlines possible scenarios on what the EU could look like in 2027. It argues that the EU's future will be determined by four major var...chevron_right

This publication contends that as the Association of Southeast Asian Nation’s (ASEAN) energy demand is increasing, the regional oil and gas resources in the offshore zones of its member states are bec...chevron_right

This study examines how countries have employed 'grey zone' campaigns in the maritime domain, which are designed to achieve an advantage over opponents without recourse to conventional warfa...chevron_right

The articles in this edition of the Canadian Military Journal focus on 1) Canada’s maritime strategy and strategic interests; 2) a theory that defines war in terms of why it is fought rather than how;...chevron_right

This CSS Policy Perspective highlights how terrorism and organized crime are increasingly indistinguishable. In response, they also argue that policymakers should direct their focus toward stabilizing insecure spaces in the West and the developing world. Only by devoting more attention to the so-called violent entrepreneurs operating in these areas, beyond the reach of law enforcement, the authors contend, can we begin to leverage the diplomatic, developmental, economic and policing tools that will be necessary to confront this threat.chevron_right

This CSS Policy Perspective highlights that one of the more sensitive topics in discussions on preventing and countering violent extremism (P/CVE) has been the relationship between violent extremism and religion, and the implications for P/CVE programs. In response, our authors here offer five tips for Western governments for a religion-sensitive approach to P/CVE, which include the need to 1) engage with religious viewpoints; 2) address the context-specific social, economic and political drivers that influence extremist groups; 3) avoid linking religious identities and violence, and more.chevron_right

A return to nuclear arms control would be a sensible move at this point in time. However, this would require taking into account the differences between the Cold War era and the current day: The replacement of nuclear bipolarity by multipolarity and the linkage with non-nuclear military developments. Moreover, for the foreseeable future, there is little prospect of political leadership in arms control.chevron_right

The second version of the Hotspot Analysis on cyber and information warfare in the Ukrainian conflict reports on the cybertools, their targets, and actors involved in the Ukrainian conflict and their effects on society, the economy, technology and international relations. The goal of the Hotspot Analysis is to better understand the cyber-activities and events in the context of the Ukrainian conflict. This newest version includes an addendum covering the period from January 2017 to June 2018 that was not covered in the previous version. The addendum brings new insights on the events that happened during that period such as NotPetya and BadRabbit, on the cyberattack that targeted the Ukrainian power grid in 2016, new cybertools, malware and actors observed in Ukraine.chevron_right

Donald Trump’s Middle East policy represents a significant change from that of Barack Obama. The president is seeking to bolster Israel and Saudi Arabia, in particular, and to isolate Iran. This agenda has emerged in piecemeal fashion rather than as part of a coherent strategy – and there are few indications that administration officials have considered the long-term implications of their approach.chevron_right

The four articles in this edition of the CTC Sentinel focus on 1) how the Syrian conflict has hardened differences between the so-called Islamic State (IS) and al-Qaida, and the implications of this f...chevron_right