Publications

This paper analyzes Italy’s referendum on constitutional reforms and its possible impact on the EU. While advocates of the reforms stress that they could cut costs and accelerate the country’s slow legislative processes, others argue that...chevron_right

With the shadow of a hegemonic China growing in the background, this paper evaluates the current state of relations between the US and the Asia-Pacific region. As the text’s author sees it, Washington will have to...chevron_right

This paper speculates on Moldova’s political future in the wake of President Igor Dodon’s recent electoral victory. As the text’s author sees it, the November 2016 election results 1) confirm oligarch-politician Vlad Plahotniuc’s broad monopolization of power within...chevron_right

This text examines the experiences of persecuted activists and others who’ve had to leave Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, but who also continue to be harassed by their country's security services. The legal and illegal means used against the exiles are indeed ugly, as catalogued here.chevron_right

Is intelligence gathering inherently unethical? If so, does its dubious nature undermine the legitimacy and security of democratic states? In this text, Siobhan Martin analyzes 1) the increasingly complex security environment intelligence professionals now face; 2) the relationship between ethics and intelligence work in liberal democracies; and 3) the prospects for ethically-based intelligence gathering in the future.chevron_right

This text examines the Egyptian government’s militarized approach to public outreach since the overthrow of the Mubarak regime in 2011. It specifically focuses on the media management of the country’s...chevron_right

This paper explains why 1) Israel is emerging as a key link in China’s Silk Road strategy, and 2) Beijing is poised to become an important player in the Middle East.chevron_right

Diese Publikation analysiert Russlands innenpolitische Entwicklungen angesichts des krisenhaften Zustands der russischen Wirtschaft sowie auch dem dramatisch abnehmenden Vertrauen in die Staatsduma. Nach Angabe des Autors deutet die Ernennung von...chevron_right

This edition of the Global Terrorism Index focuses on 1) the terrorist organizations that currently exist in the world and how they relate to each other; 2) the overarching trends in global terrorism since 2000; 3) the territorial and death-related changes that this form of violence wrought from 2015 to 2016; 4) the economic impact and costs of terrorism, and much more.chevron_right

China is developing a credible nuclear ballistic missile submarine (SSBN) force. That is both an opportunity and a problem for the country, observes the author of this publication. The problem is that...chevron_right

This paper looks at the best practices the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has learned while implementing the African Union’s Peace and Security Architecture (ASPA). The text particularly focuses on the Community’s attempts to...chevron_right

This brief looks at the Khartoum Process, which is a partnership between EU nations and East/North African states that seeks to cope with the human smuggling and trafficking located in the Horn of Africa. Overall, the brief’s...chevron_right

What does the future hold for Africa’s cities? What drives urbanization on the continent and how does it interact with socio-economic development? In addition to answering these questions, Julia Bello-Schünemann and Ciara Aucoin explore the tests that await Africa’s current and emerging megacities, which include exclusion and inequality, urban violence, poor governance, and the need for sustained economic growth.chevron_right

This case study of Qatari engagement in the Horn of Africa highlights the country’s evolving international role, which has had to operate in the shadow of the diplomatic rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The text’s author ultimately concludes that...chevron_right

This text looks at the rise, evolution and decline of the human smuggling industry in Turkey between 2014 and 2016. In addition to drawing on the knowledge of policymakers, experts and other stakeholders, the paper’s authors also benefit from their interviews with...chevron_right