Publications

This study discusses the circulation of arms among the population of the Marneuli and Gardabani districts in Georgia and explains that it poses a serious threat to the region’s stability and developme...chevron_right

This report contends there is growing evidence of strategic convergence in China and Russia’s digital influence campaigns. Their efforts have already proven mutually reinforcing on several key issues—...chevron_right

Patrick Cronin and Ryan Neuhard argue that China is waging a campaign of ‘total competition’ in the South China Sea. This campaign reflects George Kennan’s concept of “political warfare” and involves the use of all tools at the state’s disposal short of war. Indeed, the authors outline it includes illegitimate and destabilizing methods ordinarily avoided by benign competitors. They also suggest that because of its efforts, China now appears to be an unstoppable force in the South China Sea.chevron_right

The North Korea-United States Hanoi summit in February failed to produce an agreement on the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. Duyeon Kim writes that no deal was better than a bad deal, but the additional failure to establish a next meeting was not encouraging. So what’s the way forward? In this publication, Kim responds by examining potential pathways towards denuclearization and peace on the peninsula, and by outlining how Washington needs to configure the right tradeoffs to move North Korea towards taking denuclearization steps without giving away too much too soon.chevron_right

This paper contends that just as the US relied on technological superiority to offset the Soviet Union’s advantages during the Cold War, China is now pursuing a military-technical offset strategy. The...chevron_right

This publication contends that the US has to change its way of war as its current approach rests on an outdated foundation of strategic and operational assumptions that were the product of the period ...chevron_right

This publication examines how the US can leverage Syria’s fragmentation to achieve US policy goals in the country. After looking at the current situation in Syria and US policy towards, the country, t...chevron_right

This publication contends that Southeast Asia has become a contested space as competition between the US and China intensifies. The text’s authors also argue that the time is now for the US to address...chevron_right

This publication describes five of the most prominent and influential trends that could affect US sanctions and other coercive economic measures in the future. These five are 1) a shift toward more ag...chevron_right

In light of the ongoing US-North Korean negotiations, this publication analyzes the United States’ long-term goals and interests on the Korean Peninsula and how they interact with the priorities of ot...chevron_right

This publication analyzes the threat of financial activity directed toward the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The text’s author describes the ways in which authorities and financi...chevron_right

This report by Daniel Kliman and Abigail Grace contextualizes China's “One Belt, One Road” in China’s grand strategy. The authors argue that the “Belt and Road” will cement China’s global power status and at the same time threaten the world economy and global democratization efforts. In response, they suggest that the US and its allies should adopt a coherent and common strategy that seeks to shape the “Belt and Road”, compete when necessary, and most critically, promote a positive economic vision.chevron_right

This report looks at potential examples of national security related applications of artificial intelligence (AI). More specifically, the text’s authors provide examples for cybersecurity, information security, economic and financial tools of statecraft...chevron_right

This report provides an overview of the Trump administration’s fiscal year 2019 budget request for the US Department of Defense (DoD). The authors contend the 2019 request presented a rare opportunity for the DoD, one that has...chevron_right

This paper argues that since 2014, new supplies and decisions by OPEC have pushed global oil prices down. In combination with other factors, this development has reset the link between energy and geopolitics. Indeed, it is now producers rather than consumers of...chevron_right