Publications

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Jan 2016

Harnessing Communications and Public Diplomacy: Four Rules for Success in Strategy Development

Mark Seip

Atlantic Council

This brief argues that if you want to develop a successful strategy, you need to do four communications-related things. You need to 1) understand your audience; 2) find and emphasize mutuality; 3) cre...

Jan 2016

Surging Liquefied Natural Gas Trade

Bud Coote

Atlantic Council

This report looks at the increase in US liquefied natural gas (LNG) production and the positive effects it will have on global gas competition, supplies and security in the coming years. In particular...

Jan 2016

Shia-Centric State-Building and Sunni Rejection in Post 2003 Iraq

Fanar Haddad

Carnegie Middle East Center

According to Fanar Haddad, the current clash of visions over the Iraqi state’s identity, legitimacy, and ownership long predates the US-led invasion of the country. He also believes the primary source of the clash remains sectarianism, as illustrated by the ongoing Sunni rejection of Shia state-building.

Jan 2016

An Unhappy Marriage: Civil-Military Relations in Post-Saddam Iraq

Florence Gaub

Carnegie Middle East Center

This paper explains why four supposedly well-armed Iraqi divisions rapidly disintegrated in the face of the so-called Islamic State’s assault on Mosul in the summer of 2014. The text's author places t...

Jan 2016

The Presence Problem: Naval Presence and National Strategy

Jerry Hendrix, Benjamin Armstrong

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

This paper analyzes the concept of naval presence and how the US Navy's commitment to it affects international security. The text's author specifically examines 1) the practical realities of the conce...

Jan 2016

From Sanctuary to Battlefield: A Framework for a US Defense and Deterrence Strategy for Space

Elbridge Colby

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

For many years, the United States has been able to exploit the advantages of space without having to worry too much about defending its space-borne assets. According to this paper, this legacy approac...

Jan 2016

Trust and Realpolitik: The OSCE in 2016

Petri Hakkarainen, Christian Nünlist

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

This analysis discusses what Germany can do, as the OSCE’s chair in 2016, to facilitate the organization's near-term effectiveness. Since Berlin will not be able to solve the deep strategic confrontat...

Jan 2016

Russia’s “Militarization” of Colour Revolutions

Nicolas Bouchet

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

This paper argues that ever since the 2013-2014 Euromaidan protests in Ukraine, the Putin Regime has viewed anti-government protests at home and abroad as a potential military threat. More specificall...

Jan 2016

EU-Morocco Cooperation on Readmission, Borders and Protection: A Model to Follow?

Sergio Carrera, Jean-Pierre Cassarino, Nora El Qadim, Mehdi Lahlou, Leonhard den Hertog

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

This paper examines the EU’s past cooperation with Morocco on border controls, the readmission of irregular migrants, and the reception of asylum-seekers and refugees. The text’s authors argue that th...

Jan 2016

Conflict Trends (No 45): Real Time Analysis of African Political Violence, January 2016

Clionadh Raleigh, Caitriona Dowd, James Moody, Andrea Carboni, Roudabeh Kishi, Matt Batten-Carew, Janet McKnight

Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS) Program

This edition of ACLED's Conflict Trends report focuses on 1) African conflict levels in 2015; 2) sexual violence in the Central African Republic; 3) ongoing police abuses in Egypt; 4) Islamic State attacks and expanding…

Jan 2016

CTC Sentinel 9 (1): The Threat in 2016

Paul Cruickshank, Daniel Benjamin, Steven Simon, Andrew Lebovich, Kirsten E Schulze, Gregory D Johnsen, Magnus Ranstorp, Stephen Hummel

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

This issue of the CTC Sentinel speculates on how global terrorism will play itself out in 2016. More specifically, the seven articles focus on 1) the Islamic State’s (IS) intention to “double down” an...

Jan 2016

China's New Crisis Diplomacy in Africa and the Middle East

Luke Patey

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

This brief explores how China’s burgeoning global trade and investment activities have compelled Chinese officials to step in and protect their fellow citizens and corporate assets in external crises,...

Jan 2016

Connectivity Wars: The Geo-economic Battlegrounds of the Future

Juan Zarate, Clara Portela, Simon J Evenett, Michael Hessel, James Rickards, Atif Ansar, Ben Caldecott, Kelly M Greenhill, Moritz Rudolf, Hina Rabbani Khar, Thomas Wright, Parag Khanna, Carla Hobbs, Andrew Puddephatt, José Ignacio Torreblanca, Rogier Creemers, Ian Bremmer, Anu Bradford, Stephen F Szabo, Stefan Mair, Hans Kundnani, Sebastian Dullien, Ulrike Esther Franke, James Reilly, Andrey Movchan, Dag Harald Claes, Andreas Goldthau, David Livingston

European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

The 23 contributors to this publication provide short but detailed essays that look at how different countries are exploiting global interconnectedness to achieve their geopolitical aims. Some of the topics covered include the growing reliance on economic warfare and “infrastructure competition” as foreign policy tools.

Jan 2016

European Foreign Policy Scorecard 2016

Julien Barnes-Dacey, Agatha Kratz, Adam Baron, Francisco de Borja Lasheras, Susi Dennison, Mark Leonard, Anthony Dworkin, Daniel Levy, Ellie Geranmayeh, Kadri Liik, François Godement, Hugh Lovatt, Richard Gowan, Mehmet Muderrisoglu, Gustav Gressel, Sophia Pugsley, Vessela Tcherneva, Mattia Toaldo, Fredrik Wesslau, Nick Witney, Thomas Wright

European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

Here’s ECFR’s annual review of how well the EU fulfilled its foreign policy interests and promoted its values in 2015. After rating Brussels’ performance in 68 areas across 6 categories, the report concludes that its biggest failures were in the Middle East, including its inability to thwart the deterioration of democracy and human rights in Turkey.

Jan 2016

Danger on the High Seas: The East Asian Security Challenge

Volker Stanzel

European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

Given the interests at stake, this brief explains why there’s a real danger of escalating tensions in the South and East China Seas. The brief's author specifically argues that 1) the maritime dispute...