Publications

This issue of Conflict Trends magazine focuses on building capabilities that will facilitate conflict resolution in Africa. The featured articles zero in on 1) the ongoing struggle for peace and stability in South Sudan; 2) the African Union’s (AU) newly approved Peace Fund and its potential impact on AU-UN partnerships; 3) the rise of youth activism and non-violent action in Zimbabwe, and much more.chevron_right

This paper contemplates the potential impact of collapsing oil prices on Algeria’s socio-economic stability. The text’s author concludes that low prices will not lead to significant...chevron_right

Given the late 2016 uptick of Hezbollah- and Hamas-driven security incidents on Israel's northern and southern borders, this paper 1) analyzes the relative balance of forces that currently exist between the three opponents; 2) cites the factors that could...chevron_right

This paper looks at the opportunity Myanmar has to revive negotiations for a comprehensive peace agreement after nearly 70 years of armed conflict. After providing a detailed account of previous state-led attempts to...chevron_right

With regional tensions running high, this paper examines the legal ramifications of Russia conducting military maneuvers near NATO territory. Although the UN Charter imposes an obligation on states to refrain from threatening the territorial integrity of...chevron_right

This article 1) briefly reviews the history of US policy towards the Soviet Union and the Russian Federation; 2) contends that American credibility has taken a hit because of President Obama’s unclear Russian policy; and 3) speculates on...chevron_right

This paper takes the measure of EU-Turkey relations since the beginning of the migration crisis in September 2015. Yes, the “surprisingly effective” attempts to contain the crisis did intensify cooperation between the two parties, but it didn’t...chevron_right

This paper examines the current global trade regime and the growing protectionist sentiments it is facing. As the text’s author sees it, the rise of distributed manufacturing has induced a strong...chevron_right

This paper analyzes the state of Sino-Russian relations amidst Russia’s ongoing confrontation with the West over Ukraine. While some analysts claim that China has used the Ukrainian crisis as an opportunity to weaken Russia’s position in Central Asia, others maintain that Moscow has grown increasingly dependent on Beijing, thus forcing the latter to adjust its own foreign policy. Ultimately, the paper’s author dismisses both these claims.chevron_right

This paper contemplates the impact King Bhumibol Adulyadej’s death might have on Thailand’s fragile society and politics. In particular, the text’s author lays out the influence the monarchy had in the country, both on the popular and political levels.chevron_right

This paper analyzes the lingering problems and potential opportunities that confront a post-Brexit European Union. Given the current lack of solidarity among EU members, the text’s author calls on them to seek uniform results, particularly when it comes to stimulating investment, combating posting directives, and substantively dealing with the migration crisis.chevron_right

The Democratic Republic of Congo’s Joseph Kabila is dragging his feet on kick-starting the country’s constitutionally-mandated presidential elections. By pursuing his own interests, Kabila is running the risk of triggering violent popular anger in the country’s urban centers and a heavy-handed response by security forces. This ICG report lays out what should be done to work through the current political impasse.chevron_right

This article explores the difficult situation Sweden, Finland and Denmark now face vis-à-vis revived concerns about the Nord Stream 2 project. The Russian-Ukraine shadow war and the deteriorating security situation in...chevron_right

This paper examines ASEAN’s interaction with NGOs, CSOs and grassroots groups and suggests ways to improve their mutual cooperation. To improve existing “engagement practices,” the text’s author specifically recommends...chevron_right

This paper examines the increasing reliance on robotics by law enforcement agencies, focusing specifically on the technology’s operational and ethical implications. Despite potential concerns over supervisory and legal accountability, the text’s author ultimately believes...chevron_right