Publications

This RAD edition examines Russia’s strategy on a number of security issues. First, Julian Cooper assesses the impact that the recent reforms of the armed forces and renewal of armament stocks will have on Russia’s future military spending. Second, Pavel K Baev considers how the Russian leadership will reconcile their desire for a “great naval power” status with budget cuts on shipbuilding. Third, Stacy Closson focuses on the developmental aspects of Russia’s securitization of the Arctic. Fourth, Mariya Omelicheva explores the consequences of the 2014 economic crisis for Russian counterterrorism measures.chevron_right

This publication examines whether al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) manipulates and distorts religious doctrine for its propaganda. By mapping Qur’an quotations used by the group, the author find...chevron_right

In February 2019, the Central African Republic’s government signed an agreement with armed groups that control large swathes of the country, committing to integrating some groups’ fighters into new ar...chevron_right

This publication contends that in Karen State, a minority-dominated state in Myanmar, armed conflict has preserved one of the world’s last remaining biodiversity hotspots. The text’s author explains t...chevron_right

What are Russia’s policies towards the Baltic Sea Region (BSR)? How have these policies altered since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the election of President Trump in the US? In this publication, Alexander Sergunin provides a Russian perspective on these issues and more by looking at 1) Russia’s national interests in the region; 2) Russian policy discourse and security doctrine relating to the BSR; 3) the political, economic, sub-regional, environmental and military aspects of Russia’s strategy in the BSR; and 4) Moscow’s multilateral diplomacy efforts in the region.chevron_right

This publication contends that Israel is pursuing new ways to cement its control of East Jerusalem. However, the text’s authors contend that Israel’s plans – which include the possible removal of cert...chevron_right

This publication addresses the political system in Zanzibar, Tanzania, prior to the semi-autonomous archipelago’s 2020 elections. The text’s authors argue that the 2020 election could be especially ha...chevron_right

Five years on since the imposition of sanctions, this edition examines their impact on Russian business. Firstly, Gunter Deuber outlines how after having initial adverse consequences, the sanctions ha...chevron_right

The articles in this edition of Conflict Trends look at 1) the implementation of the first stage of the Revitalized Agreement on the Resolution of Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan (R-ARCSS); 2)...chevron_right

This publication looks at trade in counterfeit and black-market pharmaceuticals in Central America. After providing a global and regional overview of the illicit sale of pharmaceuticals, the text’s au...chevron_right

This publication examines the attempted electoral interference effort to undermine Emmanuel Macron’s candidacy in the 2017 French presidential election. After outlining the disinformation campaign, wh...chevron_right

This paper contends a quiet shift in geopolitics has been taking place, with East Asia and the Middle East drawing closer together. To highlight what’s going on, the text’s author analyzes 1) China’s ...chevron_right

This publication looks at the San Francisco system – the US regional alliance network that includes formal bilateral defense treaties with Thailand and the Philippines, the ANZUS defense pact with Aus...chevron_right

This publication offers a comprehensive assessment of Australia’s defense budget for 2018-2019. After establishing the relevant strategic, economic, and technological contexts, the text’s author provi...chevron_right

This paper outlines existing law enforcement cooperation between Australian and Chinese authorities, highlights the risks and limitations in working with China, and suggests areas where the states cou...chevron_right