Publication

Jun 2007

This paper analyzes how inflation and unemployment are related in both the short run and the long run. The author tests various price equations using quarterly US data from 1952 to the present. The aim is to see which price equation best explains the historical data. The results reject the use of rational expectations and suggest that the best specification is a price equation in level terms embedded in a price-wage model, where the wage equation is also in level terms.

Download English (PDF, 31 pages, 277 KB)
Author Ray C Fair
Series Kiel Institute Working Papers
Issue 1342
Publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy
Copyright © 2007 Kiel Institute for the World Economy
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