Publication

This monograph assesses social, political and economic conditions in Cuba in the early 1990s, following the loss of Havana's Soviet patron in 1991. The author argues that President Fidel Castro's policy of 're-equilibration' is unlikely to succeed and that his options will increasingly boil down to two choices: deepen the process of government-led reform, or sustain the 're-equilibration' policy, with growing chances of violence and turmoil. The author suggests that since the former might jeopardize Castro's hegemonic position, the latter is more probable.