Publication

The political dynamics that would follow Iran’s acquisition of a nuclear device are already partly visible today. Short of an upsurge among anxious Arab states to build nuclear weapons of their own, which is not inevitable, there is little margin for Arab regimes to effectively, autonomously, and in a unified way contain Iran. Consequently, they are likely to rely more on outside actors, above all the US, while also trying to decrease Iran’s regional influence through the limited means at their disposal.