Publication

As the likelihood of a nuclear-armed Iran grows, so does the need for NATO to have a comprehensive appraisal of the implications of such a scenario for the Atlantic alliance. The biggest challenge both for the region and NATO the day after Iran goes nuclear is not the potential for nuclear warfare per se but the risks of increasing subconventional confrontations and of "nuclear hedging" among NATO partners in the region. The Iranian conundrum challenges the very raison d'être of NATO as a security provider, a nuclear alliance and a diplomatic actor.