Publication

The note looks at the constitutional referendum held in Egypt and on political developments in the country, since the fall of Hosni Mubarak. It has been argued that the result of the referendum is a clear indicator of the public's desire of stability. Many commentators see tacit cooperation between the two supposed enemies in order to prevent more rapid change. At the parliamentary election set for September 2011, a three-way split is foreseen between the former NDP, the Muslim Brotherhood and the liberal groups that powered the uprising. If liberal groups fail to unite their forces, it may mean that they fall far short of getting a third of the seats in the new parliament.