Publication

This brief discusses the outlook for peace in the following decade and the biggest perils to it. The author argues that there are two root issues that will increasingly interrelate: socioeconomic divisions and environmental constraints, especially climate change. He then discusses the consequences of these divisions and constraints and possible ways to tackle them. In conclusion, the author provides a short outlook on the next century and identifies the second decade of the 21st century as a key decade given these two root issues.