Publication

Three years after the overthrow of President Mubarak, this paper examines three possible scenarios for the future of Egypt’s democratic transition process. The author believes that a number of interconnected factors will determine the level of stability and peace for the future of this process; the economy, security and Egypt's capacity for political and social integration. He also argues that for transition to be successful, Egypt’s main institutional and political actors need to reach a consensus on basic issues that are essential to stabilizing the country, salvaging the economy and pushing the democratic process forwards.