Publication

This paper analyzes anticipation in the legislative politics of the EU, focusing on its impact on actors' choices. After theoretically delineating different objects and consequences of anticipation, the author derives a set of hypotheses about anticipatory behavior in EU decision-making. In particular, the paper asks whether the EU Council anticipates the arrival of new member states and test that estimating count and survival models on a dataset that contains information on EU legislation from 1976 to 2007. The paper argues that anticipation should play a central role in the political analysis of legislative output.