Publication

May 2008

The publication examines the pattern of causality between income and democracy by testing two opposing hypotheses: democratic transition and critical junctures. First, the authors discuss the correlation between the polity index and income per capita over the course of 200 years. Then causality tests are performed using bio-geographical variables. The report argues that there is a long-run casual effect of income on the degree of democracy that nullifies the critical juncture hypothesis.

Download English (PDF, 28 pages, 565 KB)
Author Erich Gundlach, Martin Paldam
Series Kiel Institute Working Papers
Issue 1410
Publisher Kiel Institute for the World Economy
Copyright © 2008 Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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