Publication

This publication examines what the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) might look like in the future, based on an analysis of current trends in the region. The text’s authors examine both long-term and short-term scenarios. The report’s 2025 scenarios focuses on seven issue areas: environmental degradation, energy transition, inequalities, fragmented societies, authoritarianism, conflicts and foreign meddling. The 2050 ones look at climate change, digitalization, religiosity, urbanization, decarbonization, the role of the state, the effects of today’s conflicts, China’s consolidation as a global power, the intense connections between the MENA region and Europe, and the growing role of Africa.