Publication

The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) is a preferential trade deal that is expected to have a significant impact on bilateral EU-US trade and investment relations. Given that negotiations are still in progress, this paper relies on probable scenarios to estimate the potential effects of TTIP on EU, US, and Dutch trade flows. In the text’s main scenario, for example, the author presupposes a final agreement where current tariffs are eliminated and non-tariff barriers are significantly reduced. Under such circumstances, US-Dutch bilateral trade would double and translate into a net gain in income of 1.7% for the Netherlands by the year 2030 and a gain of 1% for both the US and EU.