Publication

US-​Chinese rivalry is becoming the prime mover of global affairs. Though the long-​term trajectory of this critical relationship is uncertain, several salient factors are already apparent: pernicious variations of nationalism on both sides; foreign policies that are increasingly shaped by domestic problems; and a growing tendency to allow expectations of future competition to drive the development of grand strategy. If current trends continue, the dynamics of the US-​China relationship will further imperil the rules-​based international order, with far-​reaching consequences well beyond East Asia.