Publication

This paper develops multivariate methods for analyzing the effects of socioeconomic variables on the total fertility rate and its components. It also examines the effects of socioeconomic variables on the trend in the total fertility rate and its components. For the multivariate methods to be applicable, the total fertility rate must be calculated from parity progression ratios (PPRs), pertaining in this paper to transitions from birth to first marriage, first marriage to first birth, first birth to second birth, and so on.