Publication

This report argues that China’s engagement in the global energy sector does not necessarily lead to conflict, but offers chances for cooperation. The author draws two scenarios: If everything goes wrong, the conflict for oil will exacerbate and lead to a military conflict. China already strengthened its marine in the Indian Ocean, the US and India could do the same. The second scenario shows how cooperation could work: China, the West and India are consumers and thus could foster a common strategy as oil importers. In addition, their economies are highly interdependent and starting off a military conflict would mean damage to all of them. The author rather proposes strong cooperation and China's integration into international organizations such as OECDS's International Energy Agency.