Publication
Nov 2013
This brief looks at the impact of rainfall patterns on the outbreak of interstate conflict. The authors find that two countries with higher long-run variability in precipitation and, to a lesser extent, lower mean levels of precipitation are more likely to experience interstate clashes or militarized disputes. In contrast, joint water scarcity – defined as both countries experiencing below mean rainfall in the same year – has a conflict-dampening effect.
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English (PDF, 8 pages, 4.0 MB) |
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Author | Colleen Devlin, Brittany Franck, Cullen S Hendrix |
Series | CCAPS Briefs |
Issue | 21 |
Publisher | Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS) Program |
Copyright | © 2013 Robert S Strauss Center for International Security and Law |