Publication

This paper discusses options for US policies toward a rising China. The author argues that China seeks to become the major power in Asia by 2050 and that under its so-called New Security Concept, it will attempt to displace the US as the preeminent military presence in the region while avoiding arms races with its Asian neighbors. The paper concludes that the US should leverage Beijing's need for capital, technology and markets to influence nonproliferation and other issues. It also concludes that the United States must recognize and reaffirm that only strong bilateral relationships and interaction with its allies will convince Asia that a US presence is long term and an alternative to Chinese dominance.