Publication

This policy brief examines implications of demographic shifts within NATO. It argues that these shifts will almost certainly hamper its collective ability to deploy operational forces and further strain the trans-Atlantic relationship. The author argues that the world's population and the locus of its economic growth will continue to reflect the inexorable shift away from the Eurocentric world that existed when NATO was created in 1949, leading to Europe's rapid demographic marginalization and relative economic decline by 2050.