Publication

Feb 2009

This study finds that North Korea's nuclear test and the imposition of UN Security Council sanctions have had no perceptible effect on trade with its two largest partners, China and South Korea. The author states that before North Korea conducted an underground nuclear test, it was widely believed that such an event would have cataclysmic diplomatic ramifications. However, beginning with visual inspection of data and ending with time-series models, the study concludes that no evidence can be found to support the notion that these events have had any effect on North Korea's trade with its two principal partners.

Download English (PDF, 27 pages, 334 KB)
Author Marcus Noland
Series East-West Center Working Papers
Issue 98
Publisher East-West Center (EWC)
Copyright © 2009 East-West Center (EWC)
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