Sicherheitspolitische Trends 2022–2030: Grossmächtekonflikt und Technologiewettbewerb
Every year, the CSS analyzes developments in world politics and their potential consequences for Switzerland over the next eight years. This year, we focus on great-power conflicts and technology competition.
Among others, topics include trends in Chinese and Russian power; the potential and risks of AUKUS, the new trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States; Europe's place in the world between China and the USA; security scenarios in the Indo-Pacific; how NATO can adapt to the great-power challenges posed by Russia and China; and conflict actor Turkey. All of these political and strategic tendencies take place under the sign of two megatrends: an ever more accelerating technological development and climate change.
Content
Einführung: Zuspitzung des amerikanisch-chinesischen Konflikts
By Oliver Thränert
Chapter 1. Trends in Chinese and Russian Power
By Brian G. Carlson
Chapter 2. AUKUS: Potenzial und Risiken
By Niklas Masuhr
Chapter 3. Sicherheitsszenarien im «Indo-Pazifik»
By Boas Lieberherr
Chapter 4. Europas Stellung in der Welt: Zwischen China und den USA
By Linda Maduz
Chapter 5. NATO’s Adaptation to Illiberal Challengers
By Henrik Larsen
Chapter 6. Die Türkei als Konfliktakteur
By Niklas Masuhr and Fabien Merz
Chapter 7. Muster der Rüstungskooperation in Europa
By Amos Dossi
Chapter 8. Divergierende Auffassungen digitaler Souveränität
By Julian Kamasa
Chapter 9. Emerging and Disruptive Technologies’ Impact on Nuclear Risk
By Névine Schepers
Chapter 10. Flying Robots in 2030
By Dominika Kunertova
Chapter 11. Auswirkungen gesellschaftlicher Spaltung auf den Bevölkerungsschutz
By Benjamin Scharte
Chapter 12. The Challenge of Forest Fires in Europe with Climate Change
By Christine Eriksen