The War in Ukraine: First Lessons
As the war in Ukraine remains unsolved, many elements of the conflict still hang in the balance. However, early lessons can be drawn no matter the outcome; some military, some political. These will inform policymakers moving forward and highlight future challenges, argue Niklas Masuhr and Benno Zogg in this CSS Analysis.
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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, starting on 24 February 2022, surprised many. Until its eve, many analysts and decision makers considered it as a worst-case scenario but expected a limited incursion around Crimea and the Donbas or a restriction of hostilities to the diplomatic arena and military posturing to remain just that: posturing. Since, the invasion has failed to achieve quick successes, Ukrainian resistance and determination have been fierce, and the loss of combatant and civilian life tragic. Western reactions – particularly in the shape of sanctions, military equipment and intelligence support to Ukraine – were quick and substantial.