Sicherheitsordnung nach Moskaus Ukraine-Invasion
Russia cannot be integrated into a cooperative security system in Europe in the foreseeable future. The West must support Ukraine and contain Russia's military might. But Russia remains important for the stability of Europe. The question is what role the country should play in a future post-war order, explains Jeronim Perović in this CSS Policy Perspective.
Ein im Zuge der russischen Invasion beschädigtes Auto der OSZE in Mariupol, 01. April 2022. Alexander Ermochenko / Reuters (ALEXANDER ERMOCHENKO)
Key Points:
- Russia is militarily weakened and is currently far from submitting Ukraine to full Russian control. But Russia is unlikely to give up the territories it has conquered so far and will play a role in Ukraine's future.
- Although the western sanctions are causing massive damage to the Russian economy, a change in Russian politics is not to be expected. Russia remains antagonistic to the West and will seek to expand its ties with China and other non-Western countries.
- The West must support Ukraine, including with military means. At the same time, the weakening and complete decoupling of Russia from Europe cannot be in the European interest. Because an isolated, economically ailing and militarized Russia is an even more dangerous Russia, with which security in and with Europe cannot be achieved.