No. 318: Agriculture

Author(s): Ketevan Melkadze, Linde Götz, Miranda Svanidze, Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani, Oleksandr Perekhozhuk, Mahdi Ghodsi
Series Editor(s): Fabian Burkhardt, Robert Orttung, Jeronim Perović, Heiko Pleines, Hans-Henning Schröder
Series: Russian Analytical Digest (RAD)
Issue: 318
Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zürich; Research Centre for East European Studies (FSO), University of Bremen; Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES), George Washington University; Center for Eastern European Studies (CEES), University of Zurich
Publication Year: 2024

After the invasion of Ukraine, Russia continued its wheat export growth, for example to Iran, while at the same time multinational agricultural trading companies exited the country. Also, the importance of grain exports via Novorossiysk port increased. This issue examines the consequences of these developments. Market concentration could further increase, restrict domestic competition and erode producer prices. In conjunction with the export tax’ financial burden on farmers, Russia's continued wheat production and export growth could come to a standstill. However, the impact on international markets and in particular the Egyptian and Turkish wheat import markets remains to be seen.

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